⚽ Sports Forecast

Win, draw and loss probabilities and likely scores for Europe's top leagues and the Champions League, computed by a statistical model.

Championship · Season projection

The remaining 397 matches simulated 10,000 times with the model's probabilities.

Team	Now	Proj. pts	Title	Auto promotion (top 2)	Relegation (bottom 3)
West Ham	22	86	39%	64%	–
Southampton	23	84	23%	48%	–
Middlesbrough	28	84	23%	46%	–
Wolverhampton	24	80	10%	25%	–
Swansea	26	74	2%	6%	–
Birmingham	23	72	1%	4%	–
West Brom	24	71	1%	3%	–
Sheffield Utd	19	69	<1%	2%	<1%
Millwall	18	67	<1%	1%	<1%
Stoke	23	64	–	<1%	1%
QPR	20	63	–	<1%	1%
Norwich	15	62	–	<1%	1%
Wrexham	14	61	<1%	<1%	2%
Burnley	9	60	–	<1%	2%
Portsmouth	19	60	–	<1%	2%
Bristol City	18	60	–	<1%	2%
Blackburn	18	59	–	–	3%
Bolton	14	52	–	–	21%
Lincoln City	15	51	–	–	23%
Cardiff	14	50	–	–	27%
Charlton	14	48	–	–	39%
Derby County	7	47	–	–	42%
Watford	11	47	–	–	44%
Preston NE	5	37	–	–	89%

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Rating
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	+13	28	1520
2	Swansea	13	8	2	3	+7	26	1474
3	Wolverhampton	13	7	3	3	+7	24	1522
4	West Brom	13	7	3	3	+5	24	1462
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	+15	23	1534
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	+10	23	1464
7	Stoke	13	7	2	4	+4	23	1427
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	+15	22	1569
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	+5	20	1438
10	Sheffield Utd	13	5	4	4	+2	19	1466
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	+1	19	1436
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	+2	18	1477
13	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	-1	18	1427
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	-2	18	1437
15	Norwich	13	5	0	8	-1	15	1451
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	-9	15	1418
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	-1	14	1390
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	-4	14	1453
19	Bolton	13	4	2	7	-8	14	1417
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	-10	14	1393
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	-11	11	1386
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	-8	9	1476
23	Derby County	13	1	4	8	-14	7	1410
24	Preston NE	13	1	2	10	-17	5	1369