Win, draw and loss probabilities and likely scores for Europe's top leagues and the Champions League, computed by a statistical model.
The remaining 225 matches simulated 10,000 times with the model's probabilities.
| Team | Proj. pts | Title | Top 3 | Relegation (bottom 2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSG | 78 | 97% | >99% | โ |
| Lille | 59 | 1% | 46% | โ |
| Olympique Lyon | 58 | 1% | 40% | โ |
| Marseille | 56 | <1% | 30% | โ |
| Monaco | 56 | <1% | 28% | โ |
| RC Lens | 54 | <1% | 20% | โ |
| Paris FC | 54 | <1% | 17% | โ |
| Stade Rennais | 53 | <1% | 14% | โ |
| Strasbourg | 48 | โ | 3% | <1% |
| Nice | 46 | โ | 2% | <1% |
| Brest | 43 | โ | 1% | 1% |
| Toulouse | 43 | โ | 1% | 1% |
| Lorient | 41 | โ | <1% | 2% |
| Auxerre | 37 | โ | โ | 10% |
| Le Mans | 33 | โ | โ | 26% |
| Troyes | 30 | โ | โ | 42% |
| Angers SCO | 30 | โ | โ | 45% |
| Le Havre | 26 | โ | โ | 72% |
Top 3 = Champions League places (actual places can differ by competition rules and coefficients)
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 9 | +11 | 20 | 1758 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | +6 | 18 | 1597 |
| 3 | Olympique Lyon | 9 | +8 | 17 | 1603 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | +6 | 17 | 1559 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais | 9 | +1 | 16 | 1576 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | +7 | 15 | 1591 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | +2 | 15 | 1588 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | +1 | 14 | 1533 |
| 9 | RC Lens | 9 | +3 | 13 | 1591 |
| 10 | Brest | 9 | +4 | 12 | 1531 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | -1 | 12 | 1516 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 9 | -1 | 10 | 1534 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 9 | -2 | 10 | 1561 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | -10 | 10 | 1501 |
| 15 | Angers SCO | 9 | -8 | 8 | 1473 |
| 16 | Troyes | 9 | -9 | 8 | 1499 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | -7 | 7 | 1503 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | -11 | 2 | 1461 |